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In 2017 Timothy Snyder wrote out a set of tweets that became a small book.


This is from his substack posted last year. https://snyder.substack.com/p/on-tyranny


1. Do not obey in advance.  Most of the power of authoritarianism is freely given. In times like these, individuals think ahead about what a more repressive government will want, and then offer themselves without being asked.  A citizen who adapts in this way is teaching power what it can do. 


2.  Defend institutions.  It is institutions that help us to preserve decency.  They need our help as well.  Do not speak of "our institutions" unless you make them yours by acting on their behalf.  Institutions do not protect themselves.  They fall one after the other unless each is defended from the beginning.  So choose an institution you care about -- a court, a newspaper, a law, a labor union -- and take its side.


3. Beware the one-party state.  The parties that remade states and suppressed rivals were not omnipotent from the start.  They exploited a historic moment to make political life impossible for their opponents.  So support the multiple-party system and defend the rules of democratic elections.  Vote in local and state elections while you can.  Consider running for office.


4. Take responsibility for the face of the world.  The symbols of today enable the reality of tomorrow.  Notice the swastikas and the other signs of hate.  Do not look away, and do not get used to them.  Remove them yourself and set an example for others to do so.


5. Remember professional ethics.  When political leaders set a negative example, professional commitments to just practice become more important. It is hard to subvert a rule-of-law state without lawyers, or to hold show trials without judges.  Authoritarians need obedient civil servants, and concentration camp directors seek businessmen interested in cheap labor.


6. Be wary of paramilitaries.  When the men with guns who have always claimed to be against the system start wearing uniforms and marching with torches and pictures of a leader, the end is nigh.  When the pro-leader paramilitary and the official police and military intermingle, the end has come.


7. Be reflective if you must be armed.  If you carry a weapon in public service, may God bless you and keep you.  But know that evils of the past involved policemen and soldiers finding themselves, one day, doing irregular things.  Be ready to say no.


8. Stand out.  Someone has to.  It is easy to follow along.  It can feel strange to do or say something different.  But without that unease, there is no freedom.  Remember Rosa Parks.  The moment you set an example, the spell of the status quo is broken, and others will follow.


9. Be kind to our language.  Avoid pronouncing the phrases everyone else does.  Think up your own way of speaking, even if only to convey that thing you think everyone is saying.  Make an effort to separate yourself from the internet.  Read books.


10. Believe in truth.  To abandon facts is to abandon freedom.  If nothing is true, then no one can criticize power, because there is no basis upon which to do so.  If nothing is true, then all is spectacle.  The biggest wallet pays for the most blinding lights.


11. Investigate.  Figure things out for yourself.  Spend more time with long articles. Subsidize investigative journalism by subscribing to print media.  Realize that some of what is on the internet is there to harm you.  Learn about sites that investigate propaganda campaigns (some of which come from abroad).  Take responsibility for what you communicate with others.


12. Make eye contact and small talk.  This is not just polite.  It is part of being a citizen and a responsible member of society.  It is also a way to stay in touch with your surroundings, break down social barriers, and understand whom you should and should not trust.  If we enter a culture of denunciation, you will want to know the psychological landscape of your daily life.


13. Practice corporeal politics.  Power wants your body softening in your chair and your emotions dissipating on the screen.  Get outside.  Put your body in unfamiliar places with unfamiliar people.  Make new friends and march with them.


14. Establish a private life.  Nastier rulers will use what they know about you to push you around.  Scrub your computer of malware on a regular basis.  Remember that email is skywriting.  Consider using alternative forms of the internet, or simply using it less.  Have personal exchanges in person.  For the same reason, resolve any legal trouble.  Tyrants seek the hook on which to hang you.  Try not to have hooks.


15. Contribute to good causes.  Be active in organizations, political or not, that express your own view of life.  Pick a charity or two and set up autopay.  Then you will have made a free choice that supports civil society and helps others to do good.


16. Learn from peers in other countries.  Keep up your friendships abroad, or make new friends in other countries.  The present difficulties in the United States are an element of a larger trend.  And no country is going to find a solution by itself.  Make sure you and your family have passports.


17. Listen for dangerous words.  Be alert to use of the words "extremism" and "terrorism."  Be alive to the fatal notions of "emergency" and "exception."  Be angry about the treacherous use of patriotic vocabulary.


18. Be calm when the unthinkable arrives.  Modern tyranny is terror management.  When the terrorist attack comes, remember that authoritarians exploit such events in order to consolidate power.  The sudden disaster that requires the end of checks and balances, the dissolution of opposition parties, the suspension of freedom of expression, the right to a fair trial, and so on, is the oldest trick in the Hitlerian book.  Do not fall for it.


19. Be a patriot.  Set a good example of what America means for the generations to come.  They will need it.


20. Be as courageous as you can.  If none of us is prepared to die for freedom, then all of us will die under tyranny.



These lessons are the openings of the twenty chapters of On Tyranny, which has been updated to account for the Big Lie, the coup attempt, the war in Ukraine, and the risks we face in 2024.  On Tyranny has also been published in a beautiful graphic edition, illustrated by Nora Krug.

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2024 turnout thus far. 2020 had 3 weeks of early voting, so it’s better to compare to 2022, 2018, or 2016.

 

 



The following is from the Secretary of State's elections website:


Monday October 21, 2024 (first day of early voting)

Registered Voters

# In Person On 10/21/2024

Cumulative In-Person Voters

Cumulative % In-Person

Cumulative By Mail Voters

Cumulative In-Person And Mail Voters

Cumulative Percent Early Voting

 

Calhoun County

13,223

758

758

5.73%

131

889

6.72%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

925,357

925,370

4.97%

182,109

1,107,479

5.95%

 

 

Tuesday October 22, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

649

1,407

10.64%

135

1,542

11.66%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

867,301

1,792,677

9.63%

196,833

1,989,510

10.68%

 

 

Wednesday October 23, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

535

1,942

14.69%

141

2,083

15.75%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

824,952

2,617,629

14.06%

218,065

2,835,694

15.23%

 

 

Thursday October 24, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

464

2,406

18.2%

144

2,550

19.28%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

770,108

3,387,737

18.19%

232,070

3,619,807

19.44%

 

 

Friday October 25, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

531

2,937

22.21%

158

3,095

23.41%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

846,654

4,234,391

22.74%

246,683

4,481,074

24.06%



Saturday October 26, 2024


Calhoun


13,223

289

3,226

24.4%

164

3,390

25.64%


Statewide


18,623,931

634,217

4,872,773

26.16%

267,137

5,139,910

27.6%


Sunday October 27, 2024


Calhoun


13,223

118

3,344

25.29%

164

3,508

26.53%


Statewide


18,623,931

291,242

5,164,205

27.73%

268,700

5,432,905

29.17%


Monday October 28, 2024


Calhoun County


13,223

457

3,801

28.75%

173

3,974

30.05%


Statewide


18,623,931

619,408

5,783,350

31.05%

279,840

6,063,190

32.56%


Tuesday October 29, 2024

Calhoun


13,223

381

4,182

31.63%

178

4,360

32.97%

Statewide


18,623,931

654,807

6,597,165

35.42%

296,488

6,893,653

37.02%


Wednesday October 30, 2024

Calhoun County


13,223

337

4,519

34.18%

183

4,702

35.56%


Statewide


18,623,931

609,089

7,153,606

38.41%

312,938

7,466,544

40.09%


Thursday October 31, 2024

Calhoun County


13,223

279

4,798

36.29%

185

4,983

37.68%

Statewide


18,623,931

552,239

7,751,506

41.62%

328,751

8,080,257

43.39%


November 1, 2024 (last day of early voting in Texas)

Calhoun County


13,223

525

5,323

40.26%

203

5,526

41.79%

Statewide


18,623,931

798,005

8,470,150

45.48%

343,166

8,813,316

47.32%




We NEARLY hit 50% turnout on just early voting. If Election Day is as half as high, we will be hitting 75% turnout. If less than 1/4 as high then it will be in the 60s.


Our highest turnout recently was 61% statewide. We beat that? Not only do we break records but we might flip this state. Because high turnouts favor Democrats.


Now for those who want to know what this means compared to other elections? I'm working on it.



8 days out - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

34,392,306 (53.4%)

14,120,769 (52.4%)

22,525,191 (53.1%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

813 (0.0%)

3,362 (0.0%)

Male

28,224,680 (43.8%)

12,238,506 (45.4%)

18,939,962 (44.6%)

Unknown

1,802,022 (2.8%)

600,406 (2.2%)

950,655 (2.2%)

Total

64,419,008

26,960,494

42,419,170

6 days out - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

39,458,415 (53.3%)

17,284,907 (52.5%)

28,362,112 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

938 (0.0%)

4,386 (0.0%)

Male

32,443,450 (43.8%)

14,896,850 (45.2%)

23,720,346 (44.5%)

Unknown

2,142,792 (2.9%)

760,789 (2.3%)

1,244,217 (2.3%)

Total

74,044,657

32,943,484

53,331,061

3 days out - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

47,258,018 (53.2%)

22,096,064 (52.7%)

33,945,296 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,303 (0.0%)

5,387 (0.0%)

Male

38,939,735 (43.8%)

18,858,333 (44.9%)

28,256,771 (44.3%)

Unknown

2,622,844 (3.0%)

1,001,198 (2.4%)

1,609,172 (2.5%)

Total

88,820,597

41,956,898

63,816,626

8 days out - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

34,392,306 (33.0%)

14,120,769 (13.6%)

22,525,191 (21.0%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

813 (9.4%)

3,362 (14.1%)

Male

28,224,680 (30.1%)

12,238,506 (13.0%)

18,939,962 (19.4%)

Unknown

1,802,022 (25.0%)

600,406 (7.3%)

950,655 (10.0%)

Total

64,419,008 (31.4%)

26,960,494 (13.1%)

42,419,170 (19.8%)

6 days out - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

39,458,415 (37.9%)

17,284,907 (16.6%)

28,362,112 (26.5%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

938 (10.8%)

4,386 (18.4%)

Male

32,443,450 (34.6%)

14,896,850 (15.8%)

23,720,346 (24.3%)

Unknown

2,142,792 (29.8%)

760,789 (9.3%)

1,244,217 (13.0%)

Total

74,044,657 (36.1%)

32,943,484 (16.0%)

53,331,061 (24.9%)

3 days out - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

47,258,018 (45.4%)

22,096,064 (21.3%)

33,945,296 (31.7%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,303 (15.1%)

5,387 (22.6%)

Male

38,939,735 (41.5%)

18,858,333 (20.0%)

28,256,771 (28.9%)

Unknown

2,622,844 (36.5%)

1,001,198 (12.3%)

1,609,172 (16.9%)

Total

88,820,597 (43.3%)

41,956,898 (20.3%)

63,816,626 (29.8%)

8 days out Final Early Vote - Vote share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (52.9%)

26,303,891 (52.4%)

22,525,191 (53.1%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (0.0%)

3,362 (0.0%)

Male

43,806,233 (43.9%)

22,536,361 (44.9%)

18,939,962 (44.6%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (3.2%)

1,375,365 (2.7%)

950,655 (2.2%)

Total

99,837,648

50,217,579

42,419,170

6 days out Final Early Vote - Vote share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (52.9%)

26,303,891 (52.4%)

28,362,112 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (0.0%)

4,386 (0.0%)

Male

43,806,233 (43.9%)

22,536,361 (44.9%)

23,720,346 (44.5%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (3.2%)

1,375,365 (2.7%)

1,244,217 (2.3%)

Total

99,837,648

50,217,579

53,331,061

3 days out Final Early Vote - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (52.9%)

26,303,891 (52.4%)

33,945,296 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (0.0%)

5,387 (0.0%)

Male

43,806,233 (43.9%)

22,536,361 (44.9%)

28,256,771 (44.3%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (3.2%)

1,375,365 (2.7%)

1,609,172 (2.5%)

Total

99,837,648

50,217,579

63,816,626

8 days out Final Early Vote - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (50.8%)

26,303,891 (25.3%)

22,525,191 (21.0%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (22.7%)

3,362 (14.1%)

Male

43,806,233 (46.7%)

22,536,361 (23.9%)

18,939,962 (19.4%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (44.1%)

1,375,365 (16.8%)

950,655 (10.0%)

Total

99,837,648 (48.7%)

50,217,579 (24.3%)

42,419,170 (19.8%)

6 days out Final Early Vote - turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (50.8%)

26,303,891 (25.3%)

28,362,112 (26.5%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (22.7%)

4,386 (18.4%)

Male

43,806,233 (46.7%)

22,536,361 (23.9%)

23,720,346 (24.3%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (44.1%)

1,375,365 (16.8%)

1,244,217 (13.0%)

Total

99,837,648 (48.7%)

50,217,579 (24.3%)

53,331,061 (24.9%)

3 days out Final Early Vote - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (50.8%)

26,303,891 (25.3%)

33,945,296 (31.7%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (22.7%)

5,387 (22.6%)

Male

43,806,233 (46.7%)

22,536,361 (23.9%)

28,256,771 (28.9%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (44.1%)

1,375,365 (16.8%)

1,609,172 (16.9%)

Total

99,837,648 (48.7%)

50,217,579 (24.3%)

63,816,626 (29.8%)

8 days out Final Election - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (51.8%)

53,736,479 (51.3%)

22,525,191 (53.1%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (0.0%)

3,362 (0.0%)

Male

67,024,526 (44.9%)

47,954,537 (45.8%)

18,939,962 (44.6%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (3.3%)

3,003,764 (2.9%)

950,655 (2.2%)

Total

149,196,490

104,699,296

42,419,170

6 days out Final Election - vote share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (51.8%)

53,736,479 (51.3%)

28,362,112 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (0.0%)

4,386 (0.0%)

Male

67,024,526 (44.9%)

47,954,537 (45.8%)

23,720,346 (44.5%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (3.3%)

3,003,764 (2.9%)

1,244,217 (2.3%)

Total

149,196,490

104,699,296

53,331,061

3 days out Final Election - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (51.8%)

53,736,479 (51.3%)

33,945,296 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (0.0%)

5,387 (0.0%)

Male

67,024,526 (44.9%)

47,954,537 (45.8%)

28,256,771 (44.3%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (3.3%)

3,003,764 (2.9%)

1,609,172 (2.5%)

Total

149,196,490

104,699,296

63,816,626

8 days out Final Election Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (74.2%)

53,736,479 (51.7%)

22,525,191 (21.0%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (52.2%)

3,362 (14.1%)

Male

67,024,526 (71.4%)

47,954,537 (50.9%)

18,939,962 (19.4%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (68.0%)

3,003,764 (36.8%)

950,655 (10.0%)

Total

149,196,490 (72.7%)

104,699,296 (50.7%)

42,419,170 (19.8%)

6 days out Final election - turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (74.2%)

53,736,479 (51.7%)

28,362,112 (26.5%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (52.2%)

4,386 (18.4%)

Male

67,024,526 (71.4%)

47,954,537 (50.9%)

23,720,346 (24.3%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (68.0%)

3,003,764 (36.8%)

1,244,217 (13.0%)

Total

149,196,490 (72.7%)

104,699,296 (50.7%)

53,331,061 (24.9%)

3 days out Final Election - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (74.2%)

53,736,479 (51.7%)

33,945,296 (31.7%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (52.2%)

5,387 (22.6%)

Male

67,024,526 (71.4%)

47,954,537 (50.9%)

28,256,771 (28.9%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (68.0%)

3,003,764 (36.8%)

1,609,172 (16.9%)

Total

149,196,490 (72.7%)

104,699,296 (50.7%)

63,816,626 (29.8%)




Total Early Votes: 62,003,425 • In-Person Early Votes: 33,019,595 • Mail Ballots Returned: 28,865,993 • Mail Ballots Requested: 66,177,000


Last updated: Oct 31, 2024 @ 1:11pm Eastern Time



Total Early Votes: 62,003,425 • In-Person Early Votes: 33,019,595 • Mail Ballots Returned: 28,865,993 • Mail Ballots Requested: 66,177,000


Last updated: Oct 31, 2024 @ 1:11pm Eastern Time



Total Early Votes: 73,288,747 • In-Person Early Votes: 39,347,411 • Mail Ballots Returned: 33,941,338 • Mail Ballots Requested: 67,254,506


Last updated: Nov 2, 2024 @ 12:04pm Eastern Time



And historically?



The following table shows the available data on turnout for the voting-age population (VAP), and the voting-eligible population (VEP) since 1932.[8]

Election

Voting-age


population (VAP)[9]

Voting-eligible


population (VEP)[9]

Turnout[9]

Turnout as %


of VAP[9]

Turnout as %


of VEP[9][10]

75,768,000

—

39,816,522

52.6%

—

80,174,000

—

45,646,817

56.9%

—

84,728,000

—

49,815,312

58.8%

—

85,654,000

—

48,025,684

56.1%

—

95,573,000

—

48,833,680

51.1%

—

99,929,000

—

61,551,919

61.6%

—

104,515,000

—

62,027,040

59.3%

—

109,672,000

—

68,836,385

62.8%

—

114,090,000

—

70,097,935

61.4%

—

120,285,000

—

73,026,831

60.7%

—

140,777,000

—

77,625,152

55.1%

—

152,308,000

—

81,603,346

53.6%

—

163,945,000

159,635,102

86,496,851

52.8%

54.2%

173,995,000

167,701,904

92,654,861

53.3%

55.2%

181,956,000

173,579,281

91,586,725

50.3%

52.8%

189,493,000

179,655,523

104,600,366

55.2%

58.2%

196,789,000

186,347,044

96,389,818

49.0%

51.7%

209,130,000

194,331,436

105,594,024

50.5%

54.3%

219,508,000

203,483,455

122,349,480

55.7%

60.1%

229,989,000

213,313,508

131,406,895

57.1%

61.6%

240,177,000

222,474,111

129,139,997

53.8%

58.0%

249,422,000

230,931,921

136,787,187

54.8%

59.2%

252,274,000

240,628,443

158,481,688

62.8%

65.9%



2016 Early voting turnout (from the Report on the 2016 election: https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/6/2016_EAVS_Comprehensive_Report.pdf)


Page 8:

In 2016, 41.3 percent of all ballots were cast before Election Day. Of the total turnout, 17.2 percent of ballots were cast using in-person early voting and 23.7 percent were cast using by mail absentee voting.



136,787,187 x 41.3% = 56,494,108.231.


So approximately 56, 494,108 or 56.4 million voted early (and absentee). Nationwide we are at 42 million and change. So we look to be on the way to beat 2016 in early voting. Still got a 100 million to go.


As of Oct 31 we have already passed 2022 turnout.


We have not yet beaten 2020's early vote turnout, but there are still a few days left in other states. It might not beat it but it can get closer.


Then we have election day turnout.

10 views0 comments

2024 turnout thus far. 2020 had 3 weeks of early voting, so it’s better to compare to 2022, 2018, or 2016.

 

 



The following is from the Secretary of State's elections website:


Monday October 21, 2024 (first day of early voting)

Registered Voters

# In Person On 10/21/2024

Cumulative In-Person Voters

Cumulative % In-Person

Cumulative By Mail Voters

Cumulative In-Person And Mail Voters

Cumulative Percent Early Voting

 

Calhoun County

13,223

758

758

5.73%

131

889

6.72%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

925,357

925,370

4.97%

182,109

1,107,479

5.95%

 

 

Tuesday October 22, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

649

1,407

10.64%

135

1,542

11.66%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

867,301

1,792,677

9.63%

196,833

1,989,510

10.68%

 

 

Wednesday October 23, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

535

1,942

14.69%

141

2,083

15.75%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

824,952

2,617,629

14.06%

218,065

2,835,694

15.23%

 

 

Thursday October 24, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

464

2,406

18.2%

144

2,550

19.28%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

770,108

3,387,737

18.19%

232,070

3,619,807

19.44%

 

 

Friday October 25, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

531

2,937

22.21%

158

3,095

23.41%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

846,654

4,234,391

22.74%

246,683

4,481,074

24.06%



Saturday October 26, 2024


Calhoun


13,223

289

3,226

24.4%

164

3,390

25.64%


Statewide


18,623,931

634,217

4,872,773

26.16%

267,137

5,139,910

27.6%


Sunday October 27, 2024


Calhoun


13,223

118

3,344

25.29%

164

3,508

26.53%


Statewide


18,623,931

291,242

5,164,205

27.73%

268,700

5,432,905

29.17%


Monday October 28, 2024


Calhoun County


13,223

457

3,801

28.75%

173

3,974

30.05%


Statewide


18,623,931

619,408

5,783,350

31.05%

279,840

6,063,190

32.56%


Tuesday October 29, 2024

Calhoun


13,223

381

4,182

31.63%

178

4,360

32.97%

Statewide


18,623,931

654,807

6,597,165

35.42%

296,488

6,893,653

37.02%


Wednesday October 30, 2024

Calhoun County


13,223

337

4,519

34.18%

183

4,702

35.56%


Statewide


18,623,931

609,089

7,153,606

38.41%

312,938

7,466,544

40.09%


Thursday October 31, 2024

Calhoun County


13,223

279

4,798

36.29%

185

4,983

37.68%

Statewide


18,623,931

552,239

7,751,506

41.62%

328,751

8,080,257

43.39%


We might hit 50% turnout on just early voting. If Election Day is as half as high, we will be hitting 75% turnout. If less than 1/4 as high then it will be in the 60s.


Our highest turnout recently was 61% statewide. We beat that? Not only do we break records but we might flip this state. Because high turnouts favor Democrats.


Now for those who want to know what this means compared to other elections? I'm working on it.



8 days out - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

34,392,306 (53.4%)

14,120,769 (52.4%)

22,525,191 (53.1%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

813 (0.0%)

3,362 (0.0%)

Male

28,224,680 (43.8%)

12,238,506 (45.4%)

18,939,962 (44.6%)

Unknown

1,802,022 (2.8%)

600,406 (2.2%)

950,655 (2.2%)

Total

64,419,008

26,960,494

42,419,170

6 days out - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

39,458,415 (53.3%)

17,284,907 (52.5%)

28,362,112 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

938 (0.0%)

4,386 (0.0%)

Male

32,443,450 (43.8%)

14,896,850 (45.2%)

23,720,346 (44.5%)

Unknown

2,142,792 (2.9%)

760,789 (2.3%)

1,244,217 (2.3%)

Total

74,044,657

32,943,484

53,331,061


8 days out Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

34,392,306 (33.0%)

14,120,769 (13.6%)

22,525,191 (21.0%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

813 (9.4%)

3,362 (14.1%)

Male

28,224,680 (30.1%)

12,238,506 (13.0%)

18,939,962 (19.4%)

Unknown

1,802,022 (25.0%)

600,406 (7.3%)

950,655 (10.0%)

Total

64,419,008 (31.4%)

26,960,494 (13.1%)

42,419,170 (19.8%)

6 days out - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

39,458,415 (37.9%)

17,284,907 (16.6%)

28,362,112 (26.5%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

938 (10.8%)

4,386 (18.4%)

Male

32,443,450 (34.6%)

14,896,850 (15.8%)

23,720,346 (24.3%)

Unknown

2,142,792 (29.8%)

760,789 (9.3%)

1,244,217 (13.0%)

Total

74,044,657 (36.1%)

32,943,484 (16.0%)

53,331,061 (24.9%)


8 days out Final Early Vote - Vote share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (52.9%)

26,303,891 (52.4%)

22,525,191 (53.1%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (0.0%)

3,362 (0.0%)

Male

43,806,233 (43.9%)

22,536,361 (44.9%)

18,939,962 (44.6%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (3.2%)

1,375,365 (2.7%)

950,655 (2.2%)

Total

99,837,648

50,217,579

42,419,170

6 days out Final Early Vote - Vote share


Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (52.9%)

26,303,891 (52.4%)

28,362,112 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (0.0%)

4,386 (0.0%)

Male

43,806,233 (43.9%)

22,536,361 (44.9%)

23,720,346 (44.5%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (3.2%)

1,375,365 (2.7%)

1,244,217 (2.3%)

Total

99,837,648

50,217,579

53,331,061


8 days out Final Early Vote - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (50.8%)

26,303,891 (25.3%)

22,525,191 (21.0%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (22.7%)

3,362 (14.1%)

Male

43,806,233 (46.7%)

22,536,361 (23.9%)

18,939,962 (19.4%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (44.1%)

1,375,365 (16.8%)

950,655 (10.0%)

Total

99,837,648 (48.7%)

50,217,579 (24.3%)

42,419,170 (19.8%)


6 days out Final Early Vote - turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (50.8%)

26,303,891 (25.3%)

28,362,112 (26.5%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (22.7%)

4,386 (18.4%)

Male

43,806,233 (46.7%)

22,536,361 (23.9%)

23,720,346 (24.3%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (44.1%)

1,375,365 (16.8%)

1,244,217 (13.0%)

Total

99,837,648 (48.7%)

50,217,579 (24.3%)

53,331,061 (24.9%)


8 days out Final Election - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (51.8%)

53,736,479 (51.3%)

22,525,191 (53.1%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (0.0%)

3,362 (0.0%)

Male

67,024,526 (44.9%)

47,954,537 (45.8%)

18,939,962 (44.6%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (3.3%)

3,003,764 (2.9%)

950,655 (2.2%)

Total

149,196,490

104,699,296

42,419,170

6 days out Final Election - vote share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (51.8%)

53,736,479 (51.3%)

28,362,112 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (0.0%)

4,386 (0.0%)

Male

67,024,526 (44.9%)

47,954,537 (45.8%)

23,720,346 (44.5%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (3.3%)

3,003,764 (2.9%)

1,244,217 (2.3%)

Total

149,196,490

104,699,296

53,331,061


8 days out Final Election Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (74.2%)

53,736,479 (51.7%)

22,525,191 (21.0%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (52.2%)

3,362 (14.1%)

Male

67,024,526 (71.4%)

47,954,537 (50.9%)

18,939,962 (19.4%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (68.0%)

3,003,764 (36.8%)

950,655 (10.0%)

Total

149,196,490 (72.7%)

104,699,296 (50.7%)

42,419,170 (19.8%)


6 days out Final election - turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (74.2%)

53,736,479 (51.7%)

28,362,112 (26.5%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (52.2%)

4,386 (18.4%)

Male

67,024,526 (71.4%)

47,954,537 (50.9%)

23,720,346 (24.3%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (68.0%)

3,003,764 (36.8%)

1,244,217 (13.0%)

Total

149,196,490 (72.7%)

104,699,296 (50.7%)

53,331,061 (24.9%)



Total Early Votes: 62,003,425 • In-Person Early Votes: 33,019,595 • Mail Ballots Returned: 28,865,993 • Mail Ballots Requested: 66,177,000


Last updated: Oct 31, 2024 @ 1:11pm Eastern Time



Total Early Votes: 62,003,425 • In-Person Early Votes: 33,019,595 • Mail Ballots Returned: 28,865,993 • Mail Ballots Requested: 66,177,000


Last updated: Oct 31, 2024 @ 1:11pm Eastern Time



And historically?



The following table shows the available data on turnout for the voting-age population (VAP), and the voting-eligible population (VEP) since 1932.[8]

Election

Voting-age


population (VAP)[9]

Voting-eligible


population (VEP)[9]

Turnout[9]

Turnout as %


of VAP[9]

Turnout as %


of VEP[9][10]

75,768,000

—

39,816,522

52.6%

—

80,174,000

—

45,646,817

56.9%

—

84,728,000

—

49,815,312

58.8%

—

85,654,000

—

48,025,684

56.1%

—

95,573,000

—

48,833,680

51.1%

—

99,929,000

—

61,551,919

61.6%

—

104,515,000

—

62,027,040

59.3%

—

109,672,000

—

68,836,385

62.8%

—

114,090,000

—

70,097,935

61.4%

—

120,285,000

—

73,026,831

60.7%

—

140,777,000

—

77,625,152

55.1%

—

152,308,000

—

81,603,346

53.6%

—

163,945,000

159,635,102

86,496,851

52.8%

54.2%

173,995,000

167,701,904

92,654,861

53.3%

55.2%

181,956,000

173,579,281

91,586,725

50.3%

52.8%

189,493,000

179,655,523

104,600,366

55.2%

58.2%

196,789,000

186,347,044

96,389,818

49.0%

51.7%

209,130,000

194,331,436

105,594,024

50.5%

54.3%

219,508,000

203,483,455

122,349,480

55.7%

60.1%

229,989,000

213,313,508

131,406,895

57.1%

61.6%

240,177,000

222,474,111

129,139,997

53.8%

58.0%

249,422,000

230,931,921

136,787,187

54.8%

59.2%

252,274,000

240,628,443

158,481,688

62.8%

65.9%



2016 Early voting turnout (from the Report on the 2016 election: https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/6/2016_EAVS_Comprehensive_Report.pdf)


Page 8:

In 2016, 41.3 percent of all ballots were cast before Election Day. Of the total turnout, 17.2 percent of ballots were cast using in-person early voting and 23.7 percent were cast using by mail absentee voting.



136,787,187 x 41.3% = 56,494,108.231.


So approximately 56, 494,108 or 56.4 million voted early (and absentee). Nationwide we are at 42 million and change. So we look to be on the way to beat 2016 in early voting. Still got a 100 million to go.


As of Oct 31 we have already passed 2022 turnout.

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