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Early Voting Data thus far as of Nov 1

2024 turnout thus far. 2020 had 3 weeks of early voting, so it’s better to compare to 2022, 2018, or 2016.

 

 



The following is from the Secretary of State's elections website:


Monday October 21, 2024 (first day of early voting)

Registered Voters

# In Person On 10/21/2024

Cumulative In-Person Voters

Cumulative % In-Person

Cumulative By Mail Voters

Cumulative In-Person And Mail Voters

Cumulative Percent Early Voting

 

Calhoun County

13,223

758

758

5.73%

131

889

6.72%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

925,357

925,370

4.97%

182,109

1,107,479

5.95%

 

 

Tuesday October 22, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

649

1,407

10.64%

135

1,542

11.66%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

867,301

1,792,677

9.63%

196,833

1,989,510

10.68%

 

 

Wednesday October 23, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

535

1,942

14.69%

141

2,083

15.75%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

824,952

2,617,629

14.06%

218,065

2,835,694

15.23%

 

 

Thursday October 24, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

464

2,406

18.2%

144

2,550

19.28%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

770,108

3,387,737

18.19%

232,070

3,619,807

19.44%

 

 

Friday October 25, 2024

 

Calhoun County

13,223

531

2,937

22.21%

158

3,095

23.41%

 

Statewide

18,623,931

846,654

4,234,391

22.74%

246,683

4,481,074

24.06%



Saturday October 26, 2024


Calhoun


13,223

289

3,226

24.4%

164

3,390

25.64%


Statewide


18,623,931

634,217

4,872,773

26.16%

267,137

5,139,910

27.6%


Sunday October 27, 2024


Calhoun


13,223

118

3,344

25.29%

164

3,508

26.53%


Statewide


18,623,931

291,242

5,164,205

27.73%

268,700

5,432,905

29.17%


Monday October 28, 2024


Calhoun County


13,223

457

3,801

28.75%

173

3,974

30.05%


Statewide


18,623,931

619,408

5,783,350

31.05%

279,840

6,063,190

32.56%


Tuesday October 29, 2024

Calhoun


13,223

381

4,182

31.63%

178

4,360

32.97%

Statewide


18,623,931

654,807

6,597,165

35.42%

296,488

6,893,653

37.02%


Wednesday October 30, 2024

Calhoun County


13,223

337

4,519

34.18%

183

4,702

35.56%


Statewide


18,623,931

609,089

7,153,606

38.41%

312,938

7,466,544

40.09%


Thursday October 31, 2024

Calhoun County


13,223

279

4,798

36.29%

185

4,983

37.68%

Statewide


18,623,931

552,239

7,751,506

41.62%

328,751

8,080,257

43.39%


November 1, 2024 (last day of early voting in Texas)

Calhoun County


13,223

525

5,323

40.26%

203

5,526

41.79%

Statewide


18,623,931

798,005

8,470,150

45.48%

343,166

8,813,316

47.32%




We NEARLY hit 50% turnout on just early voting. If Election Day is as half as high, we will be hitting 75% turnout. If less than 1/4 as high then it will be in the 60s.


Our highest turnout recently was 61% statewide. We beat that? Not only do we break records but we might flip this state. Because high turnouts favor Democrats.


Now for those who want to know what this means compared to other elections? I'm working on it.



8 days out - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

34,392,306 (53.4%)

14,120,769 (52.4%)

22,525,191 (53.1%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

813 (0.0%)

3,362 (0.0%)

Male

28,224,680 (43.8%)

12,238,506 (45.4%)

18,939,962 (44.6%)

Unknown

1,802,022 (2.8%)

600,406 (2.2%)

950,655 (2.2%)

Total

64,419,008

26,960,494

42,419,170

6 days out - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

39,458,415 (53.3%)

17,284,907 (52.5%)

28,362,112 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

938 (0.0%)

4,386 (0.0%)

Male

32,443,450 (43.8%)

14,896,850 (45.2%)

23,720,346 (44.5%)

Unknown

2,142,792 (2.9%)

760,789 (2.3%)

1,244,217 (2.3%)

Total

74,044,657

32,943,484

53,331,061

3 days out - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

47,258,018 (53.2%)

22,096,064 (52.7%)

33,945,296 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,303 (0.0%)

5,387 (0.0%)

Male

38,939,735 (43.8%)

18,858,333 (44.9%)

28,256,771 (44.3%)

Unknown

2,622,844 (3.0%)

1,001,198 (2.4%)

1,609,172 (2.5%)

Total

88,820,597

41,956,898

63,816,626

8 days out - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

34,392,306 (33.0%)

14,120,769 (13.6%)

22,525,191 (21.0%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

813 (9.4%)

3,362 (14.1%)

Male

28,224,680 (30.1%)

12,238,506 (13.0%)

18,939,962 (19.4%)

Unknown

1,802,022 (25.0%)

600,406 (7.3%)

950,655 (10.0%)

Total

64,419,008 (31.4%)

26,960,494 (13.1%)

42,419,170 (19.8%)

6 days out - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

39,458,415 (37.9%)

17,284,907 (16.6%)

28,362,112 (26.5%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

938 (10.8%)

4,386 (18.4%)

Male

32,443,450 (34.6%)

14,896,850 (15.8%)

23,720,346 (24.3%)

Unknown

2,142,792 (29.8%)

760,789 (9.3%)

1,244,217 (13.0%)

Total

74,044,657 (36.1%)

32,943,484 (16.0%)

53,331,061 (24.9%)

3 days out - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

47,258,018 (45.4%)

22,096,064 (21.3%)

33,945,296 (31.7%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,303 (15.1%)

5,387 (22.6%)

Male

38,939,735 (41.5%)

18,858,333 (20.0%)

28,256,771 (28.9%)

Unknown

2,622,844 (36.5%)

1,001,198 (12.3%)

1,609,172 (16.9%)

Total

88,820,597 (43.3%)

41,956,898 (20.3%)

63,816,626 (29.8%)

8 days out Final Early Vote - Vote share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (52.9%)

26,303,891 (52.4%)

22,525,191 (53.1%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (0.0%)

3,362 (0.0%)

Male

43,806,233 (43.9%)

22,536,361 (44.9%)

18,939,962 (44.6%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (3.2%)

1,375,365 (2.7%)

950,655 (2.2%)

Total

99,837,648

50,217,579

42,419,170

6 days out Final Early Vote - Vote share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (52.9%)

26,303,891 (52.4%)

28,362,112 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (0.0%)

4,386 (0.0%)

Male

43,806,233 (43.9%)

22,536,361 (44.9%)

23,720,346 (44.5%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (3.2%)

1,375,365 (2.7%)

1,244,217 (2.3%)

Total

99,837,648

50,217,579

53,331,061

3 days out Final Early Vote - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (52.9%)

26,303,891 (52.4%)

33,945,296 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (0.0%)

5,387 (0.0%)

Male

43,806,233 (43.9%)

22,536,361 (44.9%)

28,256,771 (44.3%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (3.2%)

1,375,365 (2.7%)

1,609,172 (2.5%)

Total

99,837,648

50,217,579

63,816,626

8 days out Final Early Vote - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (50.8%)

26,303,891 (25.3%)

22,525,191 (21.0%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (22.7%)

3,362 (14.1%)

Male

43,806,233 (46.7%)

22,536,361 (23.9%)

18,939,962 (19.4%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (44.1%)

1,375,365 (16.8%)

950,655 (10.0%)

Total

99,837,648 (48.7%)

50,217,579 (24.3%)

42,419,170 (19.8%)

6 days out Final Early Vote - turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (50.8%)

26,303,891 (25.3%)

28,362,112 (26.5%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (22.7%)

4,386 (18.4%)

Male

43,806,233 (46.7%)

22,536,361 (23.9%)

23,720,346 (24.3%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (44.1%)

1,375,365 (16.8%)

1,244,217 (13.0%)

Total

99,837,648 (48.7%)

50,217,579 (24.3%)

53,331,061 (24.9%)

3 days out Final Early Vote - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

52,857,988 (50.8%)

26,303,891 (25.3%)

33,945,296 (31.7%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

1,962 (22.7%)

5,387 (22.6%)

Male

43,806,233 (46.7%)

22,536,361 (23.9%)

28,256,771 (28.9%)

Unknown

3,173,427 (44.1%)

1,375,365 (16.8%)

1,609,172 (16.9%)

Total

99,837,648 (48.7%)

50,217,579 (24.3%)

63,816,626 (29.8%)

8 days out Final Election - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (51.8%)

53,736,479 (51.3%)

22,525,191 (53.1%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (0.0%)

3,362 (0.0%)

Male

67,024,526 (44.9%)

47,954,537 (45.8%)

18,939,962 (44.6%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (3.3%)

3,003,764 (2.9%)

950,655 (2.2%)

Total

149,196,490

104,699,296

42,419,170

6 days out Final Election - vote share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (51.8%)

53,736,479 (51.3%)

28,362,112 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (0.0%)

4,386 (0.0%)

Male

67,024,526 (44.9%)

47,954,537 (45.8%)

23,720,346 (44.5%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (3.3%)

3,003,764 (2.9%)

1,244,217 (2.3%)

Total

149,196,490

104,699,296

53,331,061

3 days out Final Election - Vote Share

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (51.8%)

53,736,479 (51.3%)

33,945,296 (53.2%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (0.0%)

5,387 (0.0%)

Male

67,024,526 (44.9%)

47,954,537 (45.8%)

28,256,771 (44.3%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (3.3%)

3,003,764 (2.9%)

1,609,172 (2.5%)

Total

149,196,490

104,699,296

63,816,626

8 days out Final Election Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (74.2%)

53,736,479 (51.7%)

22,525,191 (21.0%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (52.2%)

3,362 (14.1%)

Male

67,024,526 (71.4%)

47,954,537 (50.9%)

18,939,962 (19.4%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (68.0%)

3,003,764 (36.8%)

950,655 (10.0%)

Total

149,196,490 (72.7%)

104,699,296 (50.7%)

42,419,170 (19.8%)

6 days out Final election - turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (74.2%)

53,736,479 (51.7%)

28,362,112 (26.5%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (52.2%)

4,386 (18.4%)

Male

67,024,526 (71.4%)

47,954,537 (50.9%)

23,720,346 (24.3%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (68.0%)

3,003,764 (36.8%)

1,244,217 (13.0%)

Total

149,196,490 (72.7%)

104,699,296 (50.7%)

53,331,061 (24.9%)

3 days out Final Election - Turnout %

Gender

2020

2022

2024

Female

77,282,696 (74.2%)

53,736,479 (51.7%)

33,945,296 (31.7%)

Gender Expansive

0 (0.0%)

4,516 (52.2%)

5,387 (22.6%)

Male

67,024,526 (71.4%)

47,954,537 (50.9%)

28,256,771 (28.9%)

Unknown

4,889,268 (68.0%)

3,003,764 (36.8%)

1,609,172 (16.9%)

Total

149,196,490 (72.7%)

104,699,296 (50.7%)

63,816,626 (29.8%)




Total Early Votes: 62,003,425 • In-Person Early Votes: 33,019,595 • Mail Ballots Returned: 28,865,993 • Mail Ballots Requested: 66,177,000


Last updated: Oct 31, 2024 @ 1:11pm Eastern Time



Total Early Votes: 62,003,425 • In-Person Early Votes: 33,019,595 • Mail Ballots Returned: 28,865,993 • Mail Ballots Requested: 66,177,000


Last updated: Oct 31, 2024 @ 1:11pm Eastern Time



Total Early Votes: 73,288,747 • In-Person Early Votes: 39,347,411 • Mail Ballots Returned: 33,941,338 • Mail Ballots Requested: 67,254,506


Last updated: Nov 2, 2024 @ 12:04pm Eastern Time



And historically?



The following table shows the available data on turnout for the voting-age population (VAP), and the voting-eligible population (VEP) since 1932.[8]

Election

Voting-age


population (VAP)[9]

Voting-eligible


population (VEP)[9]

Turnout[9]

Turnout as %


of VAP[9]

Turnout as %


of VEP[9][10]

75,768,000

39,816,522

52.6%

80,174,000

45,646,817

56.9%

84,728,000

49,815,312

58.8%

85,654,000

48,025,684

56.1%

95,573,000

48,833,680

51.1%

99,929,000

61,551,919

61.6%

104,515,000

62,027,040

59.3%

109,672,000

68,836,385

62.8%

114,090,000

70,097,935

61.4%

120,285,000

73,026,831

60.7%

140,777,000

77,625,152

55.1%

152,308,000

81,603,346

53.6%

163,945,000

159,635,102

86,496,851

52.8%

54.2%

173,995,000

167,701,904

92,654,861

53.3%

55.2%

181,956,000

173,579,281

91,586,725

50.3%

52.8%

189,493,000

179,655,523

104,600,366

55.2%

58.2%

196,789,000

186,347,044

96,389,818

49.0%

51.7%

209,130,000

194,331,436

105,594,024

50.5%

54.3%

219,508,000

203,483,455

122,349,480

55.7%

60.1%

229,989,000

213,313,508

131,406,895

57.1%

61.6%

240,177,000

222,474,111

129,139,997

53.8%

58.0%

249,422,000

230,931,921

136,787,187

54.8%

59.2%

252,274,000

240,628,443

158,481,688

62.8%

65.9%



2016 Early voting turnout (from the Report on the 2016 election: https://www.eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/6/2016_EAVS_Comprehensive_Report.pdf)


Page 8:

In 2016, 41.3 percent of all ballots were cast before Election Day. Of the total turnout, 17.2 percent of ballots were cast using in-person early voting and 23.7 percent were cast using by mail absentee voting.



136,787,187 x 41.3% = 56,494,108.231.


So approximately 56, 494,108 or 56.4 million voted early (and absentee). Nationwide we are at 42 million and change. So we look to be on the way to beat 2016 in early voting. Still got a 100 million to go.


As of Oct 31 we have already passed 2022 turnout.


We have not yet beaten 2020's early vote turnout, but there are still a few days left in other states. It might not beat it but it can get closer.


Then we have election day turnout.

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